Editorial catalog

Articles on explainable AI in investment decisions

Free, informational articles on the practice of making AI reasoning in investment decisions explainable — and on the points where that explainability quietly breaks. Read online; inquire by email when you want a closer look.

What SHAP actually tells you about an investment prediction

A close reading of SHapley Additive exPlanations on a multi-asset model: what the per-feature scores mean, how correlated inputs distort them, and when a confident attribution is still a misleading one.

Attribution · SHAP · Correlated features

Model cards for investment systems, line by line

How to read a model card for a model that trades. We walk through training data, intended use, out-of-scope use and subgroup performance, and flag the disclosures investment models most often omit.

Model cards · Disclosure · Governance

Interpretable surrogates and the limits of approximation

When a shallow tree mimics a deep ensemble well, the complex model carried little extra signal. When it cannot, the gap is the interesting part. A guide to partial dependence and surrogate fidelity.

Surrogates · Partial dependence · Fidelity

Explanation drift after a regime change

Explanations that held in one market regime often degrade in another. We look at out-of-sample decay, attribution stability across volatility regimes, and what to re-check when the world moves.

Regime change · Out-of-sample · Drift

Counterfactual explanations for a portfolio tilt

What is the smallest change to inputs that would flip a model's recommendation? Counterfactuals are readable by non-technical owners, and they expose which inputs the model is actually sensitive to.

Counterfactuals · Sensitivity · Readability

Where interpretability claims quietly stop being honest

A checklist of the common gaps between an explainability claim and the evidence behind it: post-hoc tools presented as if they were the model, local explanations stretched to global conclusions, and more.

Honesty · Checklist · Limits

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